0x62ececc667c7e341c9f2e704fc1f17dec1881503
0x62ececc667c7e341c9f2e704fc1f17dec1881503
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Antoine Massey be captured by Friday?
44 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- OILERS
Oilers vs. Panthers
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?
11 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Pacers
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- CHIEFS
Super Bowl LIX Winner
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$20.10Jan 23, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$20.00Jan 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.72Jan 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 9, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?$17.71Oct 23, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$33.46Oct 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.44Oct 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$34.15Oct 22, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.77Oct 22, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$39.72Oct 22, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$34.19Oct 22, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bears win the NFC Championship?$43.39Oct 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$39.76Oct 22, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bears win the NFC Championship?$43.75Oct 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLJames Comey in jail in 2025?$43.50Oct 22, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey in jail in 2025?$43.74Oct 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.77Oct 22, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.91Oct 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? $21.95Oct 22, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? $22.07Oct 22, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $28.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.