Coarse-Choosing
0x62ed62bd3d9b887a7cbd7324418478d50bd6a702
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$117.18
Total PnL
$-10.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?
92 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$92.18
$0.18
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$7.00
$2.87
- NO
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.72
$0.02
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
13 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?$92.00Dec 8, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?$4.13Dec 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$2.50Dec 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?$3.36Dec 8, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Saints win the NFC Championship?$2.92Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$4.01Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$4.84Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$5.03Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton$6.00Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$6.83Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$70.49Dec 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton$3.72Nov 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$5.00Nov 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$70.00Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on July 25?$1.30Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBaldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?$1.75Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$2.01Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$2.23Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on August 8?$2.40Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$2.56Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $11.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".