Inexperienced-Vestment
0x62f8e9971084da1dfae0562bc06c746a11552928
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$-176.75
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?
6217 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
4815 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-188.06
- YES
Exact Score: CA Osasuna 3 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?
4000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
3000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Exact Score: Girona FC 3 - 3 RCD Mallorca?
2758 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.29
- YES
Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 3 Chelsea FC?
2521 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-97.11
- YES
Exact Score: SC Braga 2 - 3 SC Freiburg?
2500 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-62.50
- YES
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?
2357 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- YES
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
2211 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$101.91Jun 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$102.21Jun 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$118.00Jun 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$105.23Jun 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$12.93Jun 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Türkiye 3 - 2 Paraguay?$1.49Jun 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$405.91Jun 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$406.94Jun 20, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$130.15Jun 20, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$13.41Jun 20, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$68.07Jun 20, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$34.95Jun 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$272.39Jun 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$26.18Jun 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$11.98Jun 20, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$34.35Jun 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$7.32Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$21.96Jun 20, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31.75Jun 20, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$54.90Jun 20, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $80.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.