Shadowy-Hiking
0x62fc52915bfe4cb4896cf3ae14e4069cc23f9c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-670.91
Realised
$-193.75
Win rate
9%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Endrick: 1+ goals
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?
160 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
91 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-31.72
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
73 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$21.95Jul 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?$10.26Jul 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?$10.27Jul 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?$10.26Jul 5, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?$16.43Jul 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMatheus Cunha: 1+ goals$3.06Jul 5, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$13.00Jul 5, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$25.60Jul 5, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$107.14Jun 20, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$26.26Jun 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.25Jun 20, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$33.33Jun 20, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.08Jun 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.09Jun 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.24Jun 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.24Jun 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.35Jun 20, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$6.17Jun 20, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.07Jun 20, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$26.40Jun 20, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
35 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.