Soft-Calcification
0x6303d62a32ea7323fb7d06f223abd31effa82d32
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-685.48
Realised
$-28.29
Win rate
0%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 21?
92 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?
30 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
22 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
22 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
20 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.61
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
19 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.62
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$8.77Jul 13, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5.16Jul 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$4.92Jul 13, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.27Jul 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$4.92Jul 13, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.10Jul 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$4.91Jul 13, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.16Jul 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$4.92Jul 13, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.00Jul 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$4.91Jul 13, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$9.03Jul 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$8.44Jul 13, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.10Jul 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$4.91Jul 13, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.07Jul 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$8.22Jul 13, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Jul 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.91Jul 13, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Jul 13, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 93 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
93 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.