Which-Residue-Recreation
0x6306b0f58db3ecd1301e9bc987172107659d9fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$11.25
Total PnL
$-46.10
Realised
$2.96
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 22?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.65
$4.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23?
35 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.37
$-1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 23?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.11
$-0.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?
39 shares @ 10.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.94
$-3.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 24?
29 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.88
$-1.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 24?
19 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.75
$-0.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 26?
69 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.72
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 24?
28 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.44
$-1.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?
33 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.20
$-4.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?
1 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.10
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.01Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?$27.11Jul 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.12Jul 22, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?$3.97Jul 22, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 23?$0.13Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 23?$1.51Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.81Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.85Jul 22, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 24?$1.38Jul 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 24?$2.40Jul 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$1.00Jul 22, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$0.68Jul 22, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$0.43Jul 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$0.30Jul 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.55Jul 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.55Jul 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 22?$0.09Jul 22, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 22?$0.24Jul 22, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 22?$0.24Jul 22, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.