Loud-Algorithm
0x630ae5a34aa31a87d82119463c1d93d158dc7818
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$10.03
Total PnL
$-257.95
Realised
$-38.86
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$7.41
$6.37
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 1.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.81
$0.64
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
62 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.28
$-0.34
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
62 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.28
$-0.28
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.27
$-0.15
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.23
$-0.15
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.18
$-0.47
- YES
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
42 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.15
$-0.19
- YES
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
62 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.09
$0.03
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.08
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.10Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$1.11Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?$1.12Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sloane Stephens$1.14Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonseca$1.17Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?$1.18Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell$1.24Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter$1.30Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez$1.32Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Ignacio Buse vs Damir Dzumhur$1.36Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$1.36Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osorio$1.37Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$1.44Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Jennifer Brady vs Sloane Stephens$1.49Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Maria Timofeeva$1.52Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$1.57Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.58Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Iva Jovic vs Paula Badosa$1.63Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.63Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Arthur Cazaux vs Tomas Barrios$1.63Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.