Another-Coevolution
0x6311b360f9b5f9fd6da6c19801df81b8788aa564
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.85
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-54.63
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.85
$1.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
3560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
3550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
3535 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
500 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-278.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
100 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-53.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
55 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.73
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.74
- NORTH DAKOTA STATE BISON
North Dakota State Bison vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
3 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKosice: Kilian Feldbausch vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly$1.12May 25, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.06May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.07May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.08May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.12May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.16May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.27May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.30May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.02May 25, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.17May 25, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.35May 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00May 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.12May 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.06May 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.00May 25, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05May 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.22May 25, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.03May 25, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics$2.03May 25, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.15May 25, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.