Shameless-Nibble
0x631aa42873c2fae8d402f0f3e0ae043cdc5ecf66
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9PM ET
1004 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.28Mar 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.23Mar 11, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 6, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?$0.00Mar 5, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?$0.00Mar 5, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?$1.00Mar 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?$1.00Mar 5, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?$1.00Mar 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?$1.00Mar 4, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?$1.00Mar 4, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?$1.00Mar 4, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 3?$0.01Mar 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 3?$1.00Mar 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 2, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 4?$0.61Mar 2, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".