0x632347bc806a04259beee1343fda0e9ffcb42851
0x632347bc806a04259beee1343fda0e9ffcb42851
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$117.48
Total PnL
$-44.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
69 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.96
$-1.04
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
32 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.14
$5.14
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
25 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$25.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
3040 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?$25.00Apr 6, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.34Apr 1, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$25.00Mar 28, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$7.46Mar 20, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$19.00Mar 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?$0.00Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$18.06Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?$0.00Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.00Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?$0.00Mar 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?$5.00Mar 4, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$20.00Mar 4, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$5.00Mar 2, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $13.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.