Evergreen-Thanks
0x6330da585c9ae185a7858ed3016a0a4a36211444
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-730.20
Win rate
4%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
516 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will Amiens SC win on 2026-03-13?
320 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.72
- NO
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?
278 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-85.32
- YES
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-03-12?
217 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-26.07
- YES
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-14?
197 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-31.26
- YES
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-13?
181 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-36.87
- YES
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-14?
177 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.56
- NO
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
168 shares @ 80.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-135.18
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
159 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-67.50
- YES
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
145 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-46.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$20.49Jun 25, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.03Jun 25, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10.29Jun 25, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.18Jun 25, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$58.94Jun 25, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.20Jun 25, 21:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.62Jun 23, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.30Jun 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$28.30Jun 15, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
50 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $24.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.