Utter-Blowgun
0x633249b71af11cc0248ab13ff8fe478cac82691a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.75
Realised
$-4.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?
256 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 18?
125 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?
63 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 18?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 19?
22 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 18?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 18?
13 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?
13 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?
12 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 28?$1.94Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?$2.97Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?$0.82Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 28?$1.21Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?$5.60Jul 28, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?$5.04Jul 28, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$5.66Jul 28, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$5.73Jul 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$4.37Jul 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?$5.71Jul 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?$1.31Jul 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 27?$3.69Jul 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?$6.57Jul 26, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 25?$5.60Jul 25, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 25?$5.01Jul 25, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?$5.36Jul 25, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?$0.24Jul 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?$5.01Jul 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?$5.87Jul 25, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.