Livid-Territory
0x6336bd3085a5db9542219fdb4d3d764feb71ac7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.07
Realised
$7.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 2PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 2PM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$0.57Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.82Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$0.78Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.02Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.18Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.03Mar 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.25Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.40Feb 12, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.41Feb 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.08Feb 6, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.13Feb 5, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.