Alarmed-Toreador
0x63393e63beff7355c92b319f3343dd320839b2d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-680.94
Win rate
11%
79 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3696 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
254 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
211 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
198 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
184 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
168 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
150 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
150 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
139 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
101 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-43.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$147.85Feb 25, 09:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.00Jan 30, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.43Jan 29, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$33.05Jan 29, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$22.20Jan 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$11.44Jan 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.50Jan 29, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$632.50Jan 29, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$612.46Jan 29, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.74Jan 29, 03:43 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$403.27Jan 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.80Jan 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.80Jan 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$19.76Jan 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$20.00Jan 29, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$20.00Jan 29, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$20.00Jan 29, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$130.21Jan 29, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.80Jan 29, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.45Jan 29, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 79 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
79 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 79 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.