Linear-Diet
0x633f28474580eb8998c335f55d70059967950e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$122.46
Total PnL
$-727.29
Realised
$208.76
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
430 shares @ 35.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$122.46
$-29.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
551 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-99.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
498 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-198.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
342 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
275 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
247 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
201 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-124.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$156.42Jul 29, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$77.38Jul 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$79.77Jul 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$31.96Jul 26, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLLa Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$31.91Jul 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$30.10Jul 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul$7.13Jul 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul$22.91Jul 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul$24.32Jul 25, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$15.68Jul 25, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$41.63Jul 25, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$19.97Jul 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$41.58Jul 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$3.32Jul 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$11.58Jul 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$11.54Jul 24, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$8.23Jul 24, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$38.69Jul 24, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$35.47Jul 24, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$2.76Jul 24, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $59.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.