Victorious-Crisis
0x634d061812a5a48a9d376bb73c00cfe75a664d02
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$172.58
Total PnL
$-169.67
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$33.07
$3.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?
25 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$24.44
$1.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 22?
25 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$23.50
$1.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 23?
25 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$20.63
$2.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$19.99
$4.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22?
25 shares @ 85.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$18.63
$-2.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$10.00
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.75
$-0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 22?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.99
$0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$4.41
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 21?$45.00Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$1.10Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?$7.95Jul 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$10.00Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 21?$29.39Jul 21, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 21?$25.00Jul 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$3.00Jul 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$1.00Jul 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 22?$7.84Jul 21, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$9.94Jul 21, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$9.93Jul 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?$11.26Jul 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$0.24Jul 21, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$10.00Jul 21, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$4.67Jul 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 23?$18.74Jul 21, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?$24.07Jul 21, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.