Querulous-Handle
0x63606ebbc28f5e98a9788f231a930b8db9244aa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-549.81
Realised
$-197.95
Win rate
3%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
9 shares @ 31.9¢·now 17.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.62
$-1.38
- NO
Will Procter & Gamble say "Geopolitical" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?
46 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- NO
Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?
21 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
11 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
11 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$3.82Jul 27, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$3.10Jul 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.04Jul 26, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procter & Gamble say "Geopolitical" during earnings call?$1.04Jul 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.03Jul 26, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?$1.05Jul 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$1.04Jul 26, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?$4.49Jul 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?$9.03Jul 23, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.27Jul 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$4.97Jul 23, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.27Jul 23, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$4.78Jul 23, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$4.29Jul 23, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?$4.75Jul 23, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5.27Jul 23, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.73Jul 23, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in Georgia?$9.05Jul 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.27Jul 23, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.95Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
36 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.