Wallet digest

active

Activity score

51/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$2.54

Total PnL

$-17.4K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026
$2.54
$-0.66
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
5279 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-2.6K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2695 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2689 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2670 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2654 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2634 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.32Mar 28, 02:19 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Mar 28, 02:18 UTC
REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?$5.14Mar 28, 01:56 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?$5.05Feb 3, 04:07 UTC
REDEEMWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$2.06Feb 3, 03:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.6KDec 22, 11:02 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$11.61Dec 22, 10:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.00Dec 22, 10:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Dec 22, 10:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$54.40Dec 22, 10:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$13.11Dec 22, 10:25 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 10:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 10:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.6KDec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 22, 10:21 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity26 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry87 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk84 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 10
Avg trade size: $265.41
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 22, 09:42 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 02:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:00:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data