Wry-Polo
0x637219e138d33f6c1c32b6ec629809c9004b137d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$27.58
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.54
$0.01
- NO
Will "Nope" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.99
$0.00
- NO
Will BNB reach $900 in May?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.54
$0.01
- NO
Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.45
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.08
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.82
$0.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.59
$0.00
- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.49
$0.00
- NO
Will BNB dip to $400 in May?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.49
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$120.00Jul 8, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $120.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.