0x63728c24f5d6b07aa021214844dd3cec6e3f8544
0x63728c24f5d6b07aa021214844dd3cec6e3f8544
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$9.19
Total PnL
$-16.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$3.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 30?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 in June?
76 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 1?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Argentina to win the second half?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Jordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$0.62Jun 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$0.51Jun 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?$0.41Jun 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Argentina: Second half draw?$0.62Jun 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to win the second half?$1.03Jun 28, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 30?$2.10Jun 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?$4.13Jun 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Panama (-1.5)$1.03Jun 27, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 27?$1.06Jun 27, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?$1.07Jun 27, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.57Jun 27, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.46Jun 27, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 26?$1.07Jun 27, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27?$1.06Jun 27, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$1.07Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$2.87Jun 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$1.07Jun 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$1.07Jun 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04Jun 26, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$1.06Jun 26, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.