Interesting-Cuckoo
0x637a9d522743957a3c20069288de23fd8c9f6aac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-616.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?
7357 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-135.72
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?
682 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
205 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.25
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
200 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.20
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
150 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
61 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?
44 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$527.48Jun 26, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$95.97Dec 5, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$93.00Dec 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$3.21Nov 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$69.04Nov 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$5.49Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$7.18Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$20.20Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$17.02Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$0.85Nov 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$11.05Nov 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$1.70Nov 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$14.00Nov 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$61.88Nov 13, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$173.39Nov 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$15.33Nov 13, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?$25.00Nov 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?$17.00Nov 7, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?$10.00Nov 7, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$312.00Nov 7, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $53.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.