Spectacular-Mercury
0x637f14532d4103461f1b06d677a8bbcfdc37f1f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$328.98
Total PnL
$-192.25
Realised
$19.56
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
43 shares @ 71.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.12
$1.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
148 shares @ 47.4¢·now 20.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$30.04
$-39.96
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
734 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.53
$8.53
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
256 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
19 shares @ 54.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.83
$0.69
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
38 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.20
$1.35
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
29 shares @ 38.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
35 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.52
$-0.51
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.42
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.91Jun 14, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.10Jun 14, 10:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.95Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.95Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1.17Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.91Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$1.30Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$18.80Jun 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$3.96Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.07Jun 11, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.41Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.41Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.41Jun 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$10.41Jun 11, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$3.75Jun 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.70Jun 11, 03:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.