Grubby-Straw
0x638f7aaef4218c9d1a92db1d17d00b490972fb41
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Pope after Francis be from the United States?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win 5+ seats in Alberta?
1 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.11Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3.35Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gwynne Shotwell be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$3.71Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$5.96Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$23.12Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$98.29Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$2.68Jan 31, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$23.10Dec 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$98.00Dec 10, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.22Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$4.36Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.01Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$11.87Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$84.47Dec 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$84.30Nov 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$11.86Nov 18, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?$1.10Nov 18, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 1?$3.01Nov 18, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?$3.22Nov 18, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $18.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".