0x6392b3d57bc070ac91dce3b45156e1bf64ff1542
0x6392b3d57bc070ac91dce3b45156e1bf64ff1542
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$8.95
Total PnL
$-88.79
Realised
$-44.07
Win rate
17%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.69
$4.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
2 shares @ 53.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.86
$0.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.40
$1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?
372 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
94 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?
84 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
55 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?
40 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?
29 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.