Inborn-Snakebite
0x6398fadc8eca1e43a881977b9d78008bda3b9150
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-439.83
Realised
$-33.46
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?
2889 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-86.17
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
855 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-89.54
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
333 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
77 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.63
- NO
Democratic sweep?
27 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
26 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$203.20May 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$61.20May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$35.92May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$29.46May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$27.57May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$6.75May 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$2.64May 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$0.80May 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.72May 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$0.57May 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$0.20May 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$48.98May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$7.59May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$3.98May 13, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$27.28May 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$28.78May 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$4.61May 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$2.45May 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$42.73May 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?$51.26May 13, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.