Lighthearted-Writer
0x639b2b82027f00054a8cd36beec7dcb01b9a52b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.64
Realised
$2.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?
893 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
375 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
174 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 30?
114 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
88 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.18
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 in February?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
58 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$8.76Mar 31, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$9.13Mar 31, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$8.34Mar 31, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$6.38Mar 31, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$0.69Mar 31, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$8.92Mar 31, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$0.00Mar 31, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.00Mar 31, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$23.08Mar 1, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$23.08Feb 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.