Likely-Bout
0x639eb5b40636b77340a3293d565d37962040aa73
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$5.44
Total PnL
$-394.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- OVER
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$5.44
$2.50
- KINGS
Kings vs. Suns
74 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
- RAPTORS
Nuggets vs. Raptors
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Pelicans
60 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.34
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Suns
55 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.15
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. Timberwolves
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Mavericks
34 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-23.66
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Warriors
32 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Bulls
22 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5$2.94Mar 23, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ducks (-1.5)$1.45Mar 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5$3.12Mar 20, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5$2.20Mar 20, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5$2.05Mar 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-3.5)$2.25Mar 17, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5$5.80Mar 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5$2.67Mar 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5$2.70Mar 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Hawks$4.40Mar 14, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5$5.00Mar 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5$2.55Mar 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5$3.40Mar 12, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5$3.95Mar 11, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-15.5)$5.51Mar 11, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Lakers$4.00Mar 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-15.5)$2.81Mar 10, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Magic (-4.5)$6.00Mar 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-4.5)$3.30Mar 8, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Sabres (-1.5)$5.41Mar 8, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".