Runny-Cinema
0x63a6e713e07ee75d810de04be5ca0db79bba36c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-415.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?
275 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 9?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 13?
273 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
273 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 13?
272 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 9?
272 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
270 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 5?
270 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 15?
268 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 2?
267 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?$84.86Jul 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 9?$81.72Jul 9, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$91.12May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$88.75May 26, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$2.14May 25, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$90.71May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$1.37May 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$88.26May 17, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$28.08May 17, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on April 15?$66.00May 10, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 10?$0.00May 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$24.71Apr 19, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 15?$64.02Apr 15, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 14?$1.43Apr 14, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 6?$81.25Apr 14, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$2.50Apr 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 6?$78.00Apr 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 6?$3.32Apr 6, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 6?$2.15Apr 5, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on March 29?$84.62Apr 5, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $40.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.