Pitiful-Ornament
0x63b194503d3eb970854d1f746ebda4d6b290b42d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?$1.26Nov 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?$25.00Sep 9, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?$5.60Sep 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$4.43Sep 8, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?$0.00Sep 1, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?$13.73Sep 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$6.70Aug 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?$7.00Aug 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELL2025 August third hottest on record?$4.01Aug 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?$12.19Aug 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 August third hottest on record?$8.30Aug 12, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?$10.10Aug 12, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$5.97Aug 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?$9.52Aug 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?$7.40Aug 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?$6.30Aug 8, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$10.38Aug 8, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$14.61Aug 8, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?$15.00Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$15.00Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.