Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-6.8K

Realised

$-45.77

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
9089 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$0.00
$-698.97
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 4?
5242 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026
$0.00
$-135.64
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
3810 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-715.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2825 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-299.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
2816 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$0.00
$-418.21
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2390 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
2077 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-593.85
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1573 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026
$0.00
$-350.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1046 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-198.81
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
881 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$0.00
$-159.33

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ET$200.00Feb 9, 05:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$41.51Jan 21, 03:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$41.55Jan 21, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$352.53Jan 21, 03:13 UTC
TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$352.53Jan 20, 05:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$387.78Jan 18, 16:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$390.85Jan 16, 00:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.48Jan 16, 00:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$644.42Jan 15, 23:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$622.30Jan 15, 23:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$647.20Jan 15, 23:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$31.96Jan 15, 23:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$362.15Jan 15, 23:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$84.74Jan 15, 23:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$400.00Jan 15, 23:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$500.00Jan 15, 23:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$500.00Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$200.00Jan 15, 23:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$200.00Jan 15, 23:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$200.00Jan 15, 23:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry43 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $314.17
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 15, 08:30 UTC
Last active: Feb 9, 05:29 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:55:07 UTC·src:Polymarket Data