Scornful-Pegboard
0x63be56c05c9f222b7671e693796e12b8105879ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$15.11
Total PnL
$-37.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will turnout be less than 66% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will 'Ruin The Friendship' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 36m and 40m?$1.01Oct 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$4.5KOct 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.5KOct 13, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$7.2KOct 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3.6KOct 13, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.70 October 6-12?$1.00Oct 13, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.0KOct 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.0KOct 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.1KOct 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KOct 13, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.9KOct 13, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.1KOct 13, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.0KOct 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$950.00Oct 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.1KOct 13, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.1KOct 13, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.0KOct 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.5KOct 13, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.1KOct 13, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.0KOct 13, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.