0x63c73c1e43dc75ba8dcdae7d40e3b0a695db395d
0x63c73c1e43dc75ba8dcdae7d40e3b0a695db395d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$11.25
Total PnL
$-28.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 10?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.00
$0.90
- YES
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$3.33
$0.13
- NO
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.92
$-0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 10?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 95 and 100?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 4?
163 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 29 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of July 6 2026?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$3.20Jul 11, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$3.20Jul 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 10?$1.70Jul 10, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of July 6 2026?$1.00Jul 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 10?$4.14Jul 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of July 6 above $131?$2.35Jul 9, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?$1.87Jul 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 95 and 100?$0.90Jul 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 95 and 100?$0.10Jul 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?$2.81Jul 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of July 6 2026?$1.09Jul 8, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$5.00Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1AM ET$2.60Jul 8, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?$11.76Jul 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $175 Week of July 6 2026?$1.80Jul 7, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?$0.94Jul 7, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?$8.00Jul 7, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$0.80Jul 6, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 6?$0.35Jul 6, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.