Sunny-Course
0x63cc40081ebb2b5563bd2949816169d720f8eec5
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.21
Total PnL
$-826.31
Realised
$-47.34
Win rate
30%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
54 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$-0.16
- YES
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
87 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.83
$0.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
401 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.60
$-2.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
128 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.45
$-2.64
- YES
Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.38
$-1.88
- YES
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
52 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.29
$-0.34
- YES
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?
22950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?
17261 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 2?
15489 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?$7.30Jul 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 11?$2.33Jul 12, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?$16.00Jul 6, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$4.45Jul 6, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$4.80Jul 6, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?$4.53Jul 6, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.01Jul 6, 12:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?$5.00Jul 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.51Jul 5, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?$3.75Jul 5, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.78Jul 5, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.00Jul 5, 02:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$0.65Jul 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 5?$6.69Jul 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.21Jul 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.78Jul 4, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.