Live-Smog
0x63db21ec284c6da8375a418d1976e1c0efa20e45
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
8860 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-96.98
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?
1228 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.85
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 10-17?
380 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?
85 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 10-17?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 17-24?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 10-17?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?$19.85Jan 26, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$5.00Jan 21, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$30.00Jan 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$4.00Jan 21, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$5.00Jan 20, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$5.00Jan 20, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$9.67Jan 20, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 10-17?$0.00Jan 20, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$30.00Jan 20, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$8.00Jan 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$4.00Jan 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$3.00Jan 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$3.00Jan 20, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?$4.09Jan 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?$5.00Jan 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 17-24?$5.00Jan 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?$5.00Jan 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?$10.00Jan 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 10-17?$5.00Jan 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 10-17?$5.00Jan 16, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".