Defensive-Obsession
0x63e0850c98a7fdf549b4c1d86fe606a4e4ffbf00
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.28
Realised
$-4.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
215 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 22 at 4PM ET?
165 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
112 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on August 12 at 5PM ET?
55 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.00Oct 11, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$6.54Aug 24, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$4.00Aug 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 22 at 4PM ET?$10.00Aug 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 22 at 4PM ET?$10.00Aug 21, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 22 at 4PM ET?$16.43Aug 21, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 22 at 4PM ET?$40.00Aug 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$30.00Aug 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15.00Aug 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$19.00Aug 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Aug 15, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Aug 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$6.05Aug 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4100 and $4200 on August 12 at 5PM ET?$12.00Aug 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$17.44Aug 12, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15.00Aug 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?$3.71Aug 10, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$11.90Aug 9, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15.00Aug 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?$3.00Aug 8, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $12.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".