Antique-Obstacle
0x63ea3863b402c85e89ba78b25f159a984010421c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.01
Total PnL
$-3.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$1.05Jan 31, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.12Jan 31, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.19Jan 31, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.15Jan 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Nov 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$1.00Nov 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.01Nov 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.01Nov 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$1.27Nov 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$2.02Nov 1, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Oct 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$2.00Oct 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$1.00Oct 5, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?$1.00Oct 5, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMJumper airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMPartyDAO airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.00Oct 5, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.