Political-Put
0x63f0f0401721d8ee29d7104ead4456c779f9bfa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-702.30
Realised
$4.90
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ET
2940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ET
2537 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
597 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.88
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
546 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on January 16?
401 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on January 16?
389 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 16?
381 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 2PM ET
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET
204 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET
153 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$2.13Jan 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.56Jan 30, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jan 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.01Jan 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$10.61Jan 30, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.98Jan 30, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".