Cool-Minority
0x63f2cd959ab0986170129bff87de0412b6bbb224
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-4.98
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
396 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?
384 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
193 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
108 shares @ 92.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CF América win on 2026-07-24?$101.85Jul 24, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?$46.15Jul 24, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-23?$27.78Jul 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?$30.52Jul 23, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?$30.67Jul 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.16Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$19.51Jul 23, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$8.33Jul 23, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Austria Wien win on 2026-07-23?$20.28Jul 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?$10.19Jul 23, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?$51.02Jul 23, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?$238.10Jul 23, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?$25.64Jul 22, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?$102.90Jul 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?$30.38Jul 21, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$20.00Jul 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.26Jul 21, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$16.54Jul 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$5.13Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$5.14Jul 21, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $26.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.