Severe-Mouser
0x63f504f8938178e1345df400b5903e6f6f5c4c8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$33.63
Total PnL
$-65.41
Realised
$6.52
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$6.62
$0.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$6.05
$0.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$6.05
$0.12
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4973 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.49
$-2.49
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4843 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.42
$-2.42
- YES
Will Prawit Wongsuwan be the next prime minister of Thailand?
4859 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.31Apr 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.94Apr 2, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.94Apr 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.94Apr 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.06Apr 1, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.06Apr 1, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.27Apr 1, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.00Apr 1, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$6.00Apr 1, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paetongtarn Shinawatra be the next prime minister of Thailand?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$6.00Mar 31, 23:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".