Fatherly-Armpit
0x63f8894a766b918a31ee0932ce66628349df09df
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$47.66
Total PnL
$-33.10
Realised
$-1.38
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$9.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
22 shares @ 35.7¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.99
$-0.01
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.70
$0.70
- NO
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 6PM ET?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
13 shares @ 87.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.08Jun 8, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.07Jun 8, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.07Jun 8, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 8, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 8, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$5.14Jun 8, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$5.14Jun 8, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$5.00Jun 8, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$8.15Jun 8, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-07?$0.26Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$4.22Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$5.03Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$4.57Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$5.35Jun 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$2.59Jun 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$2.21Jun 8, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$5.08Jun 7, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.71Jun 7, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 7, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.52Jun 7, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.