Urban-Carrier
0x63fa14a14e052e11514da9f9b83de6bcc8c26a1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-88.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
400 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
198 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.56
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
130 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
108 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
85 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will "Greenland" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.3KMar 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$1.1KMar 1, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$32.00Feb 27, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$296.16Feb 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$5.00Feb 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$4.89Feb 8, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$6.56Feb 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.76Feb 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.58Feb 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.30Feb 5, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$2.00Feb 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$9.99Feb 2, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 31, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: January$0.21Jan 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$0.23Jan 29, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: January$20.15Jan 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$6.60Jan 29, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$15.17Jan 29, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$94.02Jan 28, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $73.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.