Competent-Bridge
0x63fb825079478f3d0a2f8a21d5580b57c37d70a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-398.24
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
5639 shares @ 66.8¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.1K
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$89.77
$-10.23
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
1220 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?$103.92Aug 17, 13:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Aug 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.