Hasty-Scheme
0x6400219cccc8eaaa22729253111fd6660d20331a
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-126.63
Realised
$13.56
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?
396 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$393.41
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 29?
298 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$297.84
$11.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 29?
292 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$291.58
$3.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 30?
286 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$284.24
$4.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 29?
284 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$282.72
$3.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 29?
280 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$279.42
$9.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 30?
280 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$278.27
$3.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 30?
288 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$276.38
$-5.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 30?
278 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$274.80
$0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 29?
252 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$251.39
$2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 31?$5.43Jul 29, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 31?$4.90Jul 29, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 31?$4.81Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 31?$5.43Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 29?$95.60Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 29?$99.99Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 29?$99.99Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 31?$10.69Jul 29, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 31?$9.90Jul 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C or higher on July 31?$4.95Jul 29, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 30?$9.90Jul 29, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 30?$4.95Jul 29, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 30?$9.90Jul 29, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $29.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.