Impressive-Exhibit
0x640334172e8eef5cc216cba43cc3a1f1c6585fc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 16?
6333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
3350 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kulman Ghising be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
1576 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 16?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$56.30Mar 9, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$40.00Mar 8, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$196.30Mar 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$87.39Mar 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$15.00Mar 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Cavaliers$6.00Mar 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$19.30Mar 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$52.35Mar 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$55.00Mar 8, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$20.00Mar 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$10.80Mar 8, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.00Mar 8, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$12.03Mar 8, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$20.50Mar 8, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$11.00Mar 8, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$48.25Mar 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$57.84Mar 8, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.