Pointless-Gravity
0x6414364e63d797afac3fc322f3bcc64a85f3295e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$12.82
Total PnL
$-38.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.82
$2.82
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)
11 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$10.00May 5, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 5, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.48Mar 18, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$20.52Mar 18, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$12.84Mar 18, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$10.00Mar 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.41Mar 1, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.55Mar 1, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.04Feb 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$10.00Feb 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$10.00Feb 28, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by December 31?$10.06Feb 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by December 31?$10.00Feb 28, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$12.90Feb 28, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.