Important-Baritone
0x6424a2c217a74ed5af126d577774be3c97e32718
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.6K
Realised
$-358.95
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?
1070 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-173.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 6?
898 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-162.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 7?
877 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-151.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 7?
868 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-151.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?
852 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-156.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 7?
805 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-135.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 7?
753 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-145.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?
734 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-177.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 8?
706 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-133.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?
676 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-160.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 11?$206.30Jul 12, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 11?$214.32Jul 12, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 11?$205.05Jul 12, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?$216.36Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?$284.69Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?$247.26Jul 11, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?$509.68Jul 11, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 11?$207.25Jul 11, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?$206.06Jul 11, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 11?$206.37Jul 11, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?$197.77Jul 11, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?$215.95Jul 11, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?$204.26Jul 11, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 10?$214.83Jul 11, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 10?$61.93Jul 11, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 10?$215.50Jul 11, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?$262.83Jul 11, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?$214.04Jul 11, 03:25 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.42Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?$302.95Jul 10, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $172.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.