Idle-Instant
0x6430c25c495c429afdec6a38d478a8325d0aaf02
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-981.33
Realised
$-4.19
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?
49 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.02
$-11.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?
35 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.02
$-9.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?
2871 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 5?
2708 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 4?
925 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 4?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 4?
769 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 4?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 12?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 4?
520 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 19?$12.00Aug 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 19?$10.34Aug 19, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$8.86Aug 19, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 18?$5.86Aug 18, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 2?$12.86Aug 2, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 2?$15.80Aug 2, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?$13.79Aug 2, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?$14.96Aug 2, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?$11.95Aug 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 2?$11.51Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 2?$11.42Aug 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 2?$11.35Aug 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 2?$11.41Aug 2, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 1?$12.83Aug 2, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?$13.00Aug 2, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?$12.00Aug 2, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$8.00Aug 2, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?$11.80Aug 2, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 2?$12.11Aug 2, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?$13.00Aug 2, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.