Unfortunate-Burning
0x6430e217de383e5e26090cd0ec9391f313f8f4db
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$36.56
Total PnL
$-273.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
1100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.15
$-1.65
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
780 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.41
$-25.06
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?
508 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.43
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
77 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
68 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
62 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$63.44Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$30.00May 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$40.00May 23, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$31.10Apr 29, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 2?$0.00Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?$0.00Apr 5, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?$0.00Apr 5, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 5, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.00Apr 5, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$0.00Apr 5, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Mar 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$101.57Mar 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$32.47Mar 14, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?$35.00Mar 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$67.47Mar 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$44.50Mar 11, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$44.48Mar 9, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $37.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.