0x6434ed9aaa8d83e9378a1f3ac276ed1d7ae29b2d
0x6434ed9aaa8d83e9378a1f3ac276ed1d7ae29b2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.00
Total PnL
$-66.13
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$7.00
$2.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?
23 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 27?
16 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 3?
14 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 27?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?
10 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?$4.85Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?$4.59Jun 5, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?$7.00Jun 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?$4.74Jun 3, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?$7.00Jun 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?$4.34Jun 2, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 3?$4.71Jun 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 3?$4.85Jun 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 3?$4.99Jun 2, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?$4.61Jun 2, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?$5.00Jun 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 2?$1.96Jun 1, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 28?$5.00Jun 1, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 28?$16.00Jun 1, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?$1.96May 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?$4.74May 28, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 27?$5.00May 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?$3.47May 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?$3.52May 28, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 28?$2.80May 28, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.