Lone-Orchestra
0x64359e9ec4656be3e13e1262b55abc5ee88be868
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$533.92
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
301 shares @ 17.7¢·now 79.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$238.45
$185.23
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
400 shares @ 17.6¢·now 45.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$180.20
$109.73
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 15.5¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$41.50
$10.52
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 11.8¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.70
$1.05
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 5.1¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.60
$9.30
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 2.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.55
$9.25
- YES
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
38 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.04
$-0.19
- YES
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.89
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
325 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$9.44Jun 6, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win on 2026-06-05?$0.96Jun 5, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win on 2026-06-05?$9.65Jun 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw?$1.60Jun 5, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$6.94Jun 5, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.07Jun 5, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.95Jun 4, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominican Republic win on 2026-06-03?$2.49Jun 4, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philippines win on 2026-06-03?$0.92Jun 3, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$200.00Jun 2, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$39.00Jun 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$7.14Jun 2, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$29.31Jun 2, 11:47 UTC
- MERGEWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$200.00Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?$0.86May 31, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.00May 31, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw?$9.28May 30, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$200.00May 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)$37.15May 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.95May 30, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $21.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".